Internal Validation of Automated Visual Evaluation (AVE) on Smartphone Images for Cervical Cancer Screening in a Prospective Study in Zambia.

Objectives: Visual inspection with acetic acid (VIA) is a low-cost approach for cervical cancer screening used in most low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) but, similar to other visual tests like histopathology, is subjective and requires sustained training and quality assurance. We developed, trained, and validated an artificial-intelligence-based "Automated Visual Evaluation" (AVE) tool that can be adapted to run on smartphones to assess smartphone-captured images of the cervix and identify precancerous lesions, helping augment performance of VIA. Design: Prospective study. Setting: Eight public health facilities in Zambia. Participants: 8,204 women aged 25-55. Interventions: Cervical images captured on commonly used low-cost smartphone models were matched with key clinical information including human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and human papillomavirus (HPV) status, plus histopathology analysis (where applicable), to develop and train an AVE algorithm and evaluate its performance for use as a primary screen and triage test for women who are HPV positive. Main outcome measures: Area under the receiver operating curve (AUC); sensitivity; specificity. Results: As a general population screening for cervical precancerous lesions, AVE identified cases of cervical precancerous and cancerous (CIN2+) lesions with high performance (AUC = 0.91, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.89 to 0.93), which translates to a sensitivity of 85% (95% CI = 81% to 90%) and specificity of 86% (95% CI = 84% to 88%) based on maximizing the Youden's index. This represents a considerable improvement over VIA, which a meta-analysis by the World Health Organization (WHO) estimates to have sensitivity of 66% and specificity of 87%. For women living with HIV, the AUC of AVE was 0.91 (95% CI = 0.88 to 0.93), and among those testing positive for high-risk HPV types, the AUC was 0.87 (95% CI = 0.83 to 0.91). Conclusions: These results demonstrate the feasibility of utilizing AVE on images captured using a commonly available smartphone by screening nurses and support our transition to clinical evaluation of AVE's sensitivity, specificity, feasibility, and acceptability across a broader range of settings. The performance of the algorithm as reported may be inflated, as biopsies were obtained only from study participants with visible aceto-white cervical lesions, which can lead to verification bias; and the images and data sets used for testing of the model, although "unseen" by the algorithm during training, were acquired from the same set of patients and devices, limiting the study to that of an internal validation of the AVE algorithm.

Validation in Zambia of a cervical screening strategy including HPV genotyping and artificial intelligence (AI)-based automated visual evaluation.

BACKGROUND: WHO has recommended HPV testing for cervical screening where it is practical and affordable. If used, it is important to both clarify and implement the clinical management of positive results. We estimated the performance in Lusaka, Zambia of a novel screening/triage approach combining HPV typing with visual assessment assisted by a deep-learning approach called automated visual evaluation (AVE). METHODS: In this well-established cervical cancer screening program nested inside public sector primary care health facilities, experienced nurses examined women with high-quality digital cameras; the magnified illuminated images permit inspection of the surface morphology of the cervix and expert telemedicine quality assurance. Emphasizing sensitive criteria to avoid missing precancer/cancer, ~ 25% of women screen positive, reflecting partly the high HIV prevalence. Visual screen-positive women are treated in the same visit by trained nurses using either ablation (~ 60%) or LLETZ excision, or referred for LLETZ or more extensive surgery as needed. We added research elements (which did not influence clinical care) including collection of HPV specimens for testing and typing with BD Onclarity™ with a five channel output (HPV16, HPV18/45, HPV31/33/52/58, HPV35/39/51/56/59/66/68, human DNA control), and collection of triplicate cervical images with a Samsung Galaxy J8 smartphone camera™ that were analyzed using AVE, an AI-based algorithm pre-trained on a large NCI cervical image archive. The four HPV groups and three AVE classes were crossed to create a 12-level risk scale, ranking participants in order of predicted risk of precancer. We evaluated the risk scale and assessed how well it predicted the observed diagnosis of precancer/cancer. RESULTS: HPV type, AVE classification, and the 12-level risk scale all were strongly associated with degree of histologic outcome. The AVE classification showed good reproducibility between replicates, and added finer predictive accuracy to each HPV type group. Women living with HIV had higher prevalence of precancer/cancer; the HPV-AVE risk categories strongly predicted diagnostic findings in these women as well. CONCLUSIONS: These results support the theoretical efficacy of HPV-AVE-based risk estimation for cervical screening. If HPV testing can be made affordable, cost-effective and point of care, this risk-based approach could be one management option for HPV-positive women.

Primary Human Papillomavirus Testing and Other New Technologies for Cervical Cancer Screening.

Cervical cancer screening has saved the lives of millions in regions where routine gynecologic care is readily accessible. As screening continues to evolve away from cervical cytology to primary human papillomavirus (HPV) testing, robust prospective cohort data have allowed for precise risk stratification and improved our ability to identify those at greatest risk of high-grade dysplasia and decrease unnecessary diagnostic procedures. New technologies such as p16/Ki-67 dual stain testing and HPV methylation panels, which offer comparable performance to co-testing and can be developed into high-throughput workflows, could lead to a fully molecular Pap test. Self-sampling in the United States, where the initial screen can be done in the home, in conjunction with new screening technologies, may decrease the existing hurdles of routine cervical cancer screening. Implementation barriers include issues with workflow, workforce, and cost. These need to be addressed to achieve an improved and more equitable cervical cancer screening program in the United States.

HPV16/18 Antibody Responses After a Single Dose of Nonavalent HPV Vaccine.

OBJECTIVES: A single dose of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine would simplify logistics and reduce costs of vaccination programs worldwide. We conducted a phase IIa trial to determine the stability of HPV type-specific antibody responses after a single dose of the nonavalent HPV vaccine, Gardasil9. METHODS: Two hundred-and-one healthy 9 to 11-year-old girls and boys were enrolled at 2 centers in the United States to receive a prime dose of the nonavalent vaccine at baseline, a delayed dose at month 24, and an optional third dose at month 30. Blood samples were collected to measure HPV type-specific antibodies at baseline and at 6, 12, 18, 24, and 30 months after the prime dose. The primary outcomes were serum HPV16 and HPV18 antibody responses. RESULTS: In both girls and boys, geometric mean concentrations of HPV16 and HPV18 antibodies increased at 6 months, declined between months 6 to 12, and then remained stable and high (at 20- and 10-times those at baseline for HPV16 and HPV18, respectively) throughout months 12, 18, and 24 (prebooster) visits. Both HPV16 and HPV18 antibody responses demonstrated anamnestic boosting effect at 30-months after the delayed (24-month) booster dose. CONCLUSIONS: A single dose of the nonavalent HPV vaccine induced persistent and stable HPV16 and HPV18 antibody responses up to 24 months. This study contributes important immunogenicity data to inform feasibility of the single dose HPV vaccination paradigm. Further research is needed to assess the long-term antibody stability and individual clinical and public health benefit of the single dose schedule.

Diversity of Anal HPV and Non-HPV Sexually Transmitted Infections and Concordance with Genital Infections in HIV-Infected and HIV-Uninfected Women in the Tapajós Region, Amazon, Brazil.

The aim of this study was to classify the diversity of anal HPV and non-HPV sexually transmitted infections (STIs) and compare the concordance between anal and genital infections in HIV-infected and uninfected women living in the Tapajós region, Amazon, Brazil. A cross-sectional study was performed with 112 HIV-uninfected and 41 HIV-infected nonindigenous women. Anal and cervical scrapings were collected and analyzed for HPV, Chlamydia trachomatis (CT), Neisseria gonorrheae (NG), Trichomonas vaginalis (TV), Mycoplasma genitalium (MG), and Human alphaherpesvirus 2 (HSV-2). The Kappa test evaluated the concordance between anal and genital infections. The overall prevalence of anal HPV infection was 31.3% in HIV-uninfected and 97.6% in HIV-infected women. The most frequent anal high-risk HPV (hrHPV) types were HPV18 and HPV16 in HIV-uninfected women and HPV51, HPV59, HPV31, and HPV58 in HIV-infected women. Anal HPV75 Betapapillomavirus was also identified. Anal non-HPV STIs were identified in 13.0% of all participants. The concordance analysis was fair for CT, MG, and HSV-2, almost perfect agreement for NG, moderate for HPV, and variable for the most frequent anal hrHPV types. Thus, a high prevalence of anal HPV infection with moderate and fair concordance between anal and genital HPV and non-HPV STIs was observed in our study.

A Systematic Review and Pooled Analysis of Hypothesized versus Observed Effect Sizes in Early Phase Cancer Prevention Clinical Trials.

Early phase cancer prevention trials are designed to demonstrate safety, tolerability, feasibility, and signals of efficacy of preventive agents. Yet it is often observed that many trials fail to detect intervention effects. We conducted a systematic review and pooled analyses of recently completed early phase chemoprevention trials to gain in depth insight on the failure of detecting efficacy signals by comparing hypothesized effect sizes to the corresponding observed effect sizes.Single- or multi-arm efficacy chemoprevention trials conducted under the phase 0/I/II Cancer Prevention Clinical Trials Program of the Division of Cancer Prevention, NCI between 2003 and 2019 were evaluated. A total of 59 chemoprevention trials were reviewed. Twenty-four studies were efficacy or biomarker trials with complete information on hypothesized and observed effect sizes and included in this analysis. The majority of the trials (n = 18) were multi-arm randomized studies of which 15 trials were blinded. The pooled estimate of the observed to hypothesized effect size ratio was 0.57 (95% confidence interval: 0.42-0.73, P < 0.001) based on a random-effects model. There were no significant differences detected in the ratio of observed to hypothesized effect sizes when conducting various subgroup analyses.The results demonstrate that the majority of early phase cancer chemoprevention trials have substantially smaller observed effect sizes than hypothesized effect sizes. Sample size calculations for early phase chemoprevention trials need to balance the potential detectable effect sizes with realistic and cost-effective accrual of study populations, thereby, detecting only intervention effects large enough to justify subsequent large-scale confirmatory trials. PREVENTION RELEVANCE: The results of this systematic review and pooled analyses demonstrate that for early chemoprevention trials, there are substantial differences between hypothesized and observed effect sizes, regardless of study characteristics. The conduct of early phase chemoprevention trial requires careful planning of study design, primary endpoint, and sample size determination.

Lessons Learned from the Impact of COVID-19 on NCI-sponsored Cancer Prevention Clinical Trials: Moving Toward Participant-centric Study Designs.

The COVID-19 pandemic overloaded health care systems around the globe and brought travel restrictions and other mandates. These effects critically impacted cancer care and conduct of clinical trials, and required medical and research communities to incorporate changes and novel flexible workflows within clinical trials and regulations to improve efficiency. We report the impact of the pandemic on cancer prevention clinical trials managed by the Division of Cancer Prevention within the NCI, focusing on participant-centric, study staff-centric and regulatory elements. Learning lessons from this challenging period, the cancer prevention community has the opportunity to incorporate many of these necessitated novel approaches to future design of clinical trials, to streamline and improve clinical trial efficiency and impact.

Meta-analysis of agreement/concordance statistics in studies comparing self- vs clinician-collected samples for HPV testing in cervical cancer screening.

We conducted a meta-analysis of test agreement/concordance between human papillomavirus (HPV) testing in self-collected vs clinician-collected samples in 26 studies (10 071 participants) updating a previous meta-analysis on accuracy for cervical precancer. Pooled overall agreement was 88.7% (95% CI: 86.3%-90.9%), positive agreement was 84.6% (95% CI: 79.9%-88.7%), negative agreement was 91.7% (95% CI: 89.1%-94.0%) and kappa was 0.72 (95% CI: 0.66-0.78). Subgroup meta-analyses suggested higher overall agreement for target amplification-based DNA assays (90.4%) compared to signal amplification-based DNA assays (86.7%; P = .175) or RNA assays (82.3%; P < .001). HPV test agreement/concordance targets may provide criteria to extend existing validations toward alternative sampling approaches and devices/storage media.

Cervical cancer prevention and control in women living with human immunodeficiency virus.

Despite being highly preventable, cervical cancer is the fourth most common cancer and cause of cancer death in women globally. In low-income countries, cervical cancer is often the leading cause of cancer-related morbidity and mortality. Women living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)/acquired immunodeficiency syndrome are at a particularly high risk of cervical cancer because of an impaired immune response to human papillomavirus, the obligate cause of virtually all cervical cancers. Globally, approximately 1 in 20 cervical cancers is attributable to HIV; in sub-Saharan Africa, approximately 1 in 5 cervical cancers is due to HIV. Here, the authors provide a critical appraisal of the evidence to date on the impact of HIV disease on cervical cancer risk, describe key methodologic issues, and frame the key outstanding research questions, especially as they apply to ongoing global efforts for prevention and control of cervical cancer. Expanded efforts to integrate HIV care with cervical cancer prevention and control, and vice versa, could assist the global effort to eliminate cervical cancer as a public health problem.

Infiltrating T-cell markers in cervical carcinogenesis: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The host adaptive immune response helps determine which cervical HPV infections persist and progress to precancer and cancer, and systematic characterisation of T-cell infiltration would help inform key steps in cervical carcinogenesis. METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted of infiltrating T-cells in normal cervix, low-grade lesions, high-grade lesions, and invasive cancers including epithelial, stromal, and total tissue and the following markers: CD3, CD4, CD8, FoxP3, CD25, and the CD4:CD8 ratio. An additional qualitative review summarised longitudinal data on associations between infiltrating T-cells and cervical disease persistence, regression, progression, or prognosis. RESULTS: There were fewer CD3+, CD4+, and CD8+ cells in cervical lesions and more cells in cancers compared to normal epithelium. FoxP3 and CD25+ regulatory T-cell infiltration is high in persistent and precancerous lesions, and longitudinal data show improved outcomes with lower regulatory T-cell levels. CONCLUSIONS: Successful immune evasion may reduce T-cell infiltration in HPV infected and precancerous epithelium, while invasive cancers are highly immunogenic, and regulatory T-cell infiltration increases with cervical disease progression. Understanding these factors may have prognostic value and could aid in novel treatment development and clinical guidelines, but published data are highly heterogeneous and leave important gaps to be filled by future studies.

A prospective, single-arm, open-label, non-randomized, phase IIa trial of a nonavalent prophylactic HPV vaccine to assess immunogenicity of a prime and deferred-booster dosing schedule among 9-11 year-old girls and boys - clinical protocol.

BACKGROUND: Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines are indicated for the prevention of cancers and genital warts caused by vaccine-covered HPV types. Although the standard regimen requires a two or three-dose vaccine series, there is emerging data suggesting that a single dose of the bivalent or quadrivalent HPV vaccine generates persistently positive antibody titers. No similar data is yet available for the nonavalent HPV vaccine, currently the only HPV vaccine available in the United States. The overall objective of our study is to assess the stability and kinetics of antibody titers for 24 months following a single dose of the nonavalent HPV vaccine among preteen girls and boys. METHODS: This is a prospective, single-arm, open-label, non-randomized, Phase IIa trial among 9-11 year-old girls and boys to determine the immunogenicity after a single dose of the nonavalent HPV vaccine (GARDASIL® 9) over 24 months, with a deferred booster dose at 24 months and an optional booster at 30 months after the first dose. Participants provide blood specimens at 6, 12, 18, 24, and 30 months after the first dose. Serologic geometric mean titers (GMT) of the nine vaccine types (HPV 16/18/ 6/11/31/33/45/52/58) will be measured at each time point. The primary objective is to determine the stability of type-specific serologic GMT of HPV16 and HPV18 between the 6- vs. 12-month, 12- vs. 18-month, and 18- vs. 24-month visits. Secondary objectives are to determine the stability of type-specific serologic GMT of the other HPV types (HPV 6/11/31/33/45/52/58) between the visits and to assess safety and reactogenicity after each vaccine dose. DISCUSSION: Single dose HPV vaccination could simplify the logistics and reduce costs of HPV vaccination in the US and across the world. This study will contribute important immunogenicity data on the stability and kinetics of type-specific antibody titers and inform feasibility of the single dose HPV vaccination paradigm. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02568566 . Registered on October 6, 2015.

Cervico-vaginal self-collection in HIV-infected and uninfected women from Tapajós region, Amazon, Brazil: High acceptability, hrHPV diversity and risk factors.

OBJECTIVE: We evaluated acceptability of cervico-vaginal self-collection (CVSC) and prevalence of human papillomavirus (HPV) in Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected and HIV-uninfected women living in the Tapajós region, Amazon, Brazil. METHODS: Cross-sectional study recruited 153 non-indigenous women (HIV-uninfected, n = 112 and HIV-infected, n = 41) who voluntarily sought assistance in health services. Peripheral blood for HIV screening and cervical scraping (CS) for HPV detection were collected. Women who accepted to perform CVSC received instructions and individual collection kits. Risk factors for high-risk HPV genotypes (hrHPV) were identified by uni- and multivariate analyses. RESULTS: The overall acceptability of CVSC was 87%. Only HIV-infected women had cytological abnormalities (12.2%). Prevalence of any HPV and hrHPV infection was 42.9% and 47.9% for HIV-uninfected and 97.6% and 77.5% for HIV-infected women, respectively. There was significant agreement in the detection of HPV (88%, 0.76, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.65-0.87) and hrHPV (79.7%, 0.56, 95% CI, 0.41-0.71) between self-collected and clinician-collected samples. The most prevalent hrHPV types were HPV16 and HPV18 in HIV-uninfected and HPV16, HPV51 and HPV59 in HIV-infected women. HIV-infected women with hrHPV infection had multiple hrHPV infections (p = 0.005) and lower CD4 count (p = 0.018). Risk factors for hrHPV infection included being HIV-infected and having five or more sexual partners. CONCLUSIONS: CVSC had high acceptability and high prevalence of hrHPV types in women living in the Tapajós region, Amazon, Brazil.

Noncommunicable diseases among HIV-infected persons in low-income and middle-income countries: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To appropriately identify and treat noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) among persons living with HIV (PLHIV) in low-and-middle-income countries (LMICs), it is imperative to understand the burden of NCDs among PLHIV in LMICs and the current management of the diseases. DESIGN: Systematic review and meta-analysis. METHODS: We examined peer-reviewed literature published between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2016 to assess currently available evidence regarding HIV and four selected NCDs (cardiovascular disease, cervical cancer, depression, and diabetes) in LMICs with a focus on sub-Saharan Africa. The databases, PubMed/MEDLINE, Cochrane Review, and Scopus, were searched to identify relevant literature. For conditions with adequate data available, pooled estimates for prevalence were generated using random fixed effects models. RESULTS: Six thousand one hundred and forty-three abstracts were reviewed, 377 had potentially relevant prevalence data and 141 were included in the summary; 57 were selected for quantitative analysis. Pooled estimates for NCD prevalence were hypertension 21.2% (95% CI 16.3-27.1), hypercholesterolemia 22.2% (95% CI 14.7-32.1), elevated low-density lipoprotein 23.2% (95% CI 15.2-33.6), hypertriglyceridemia 27.2% (95% CI 20.7-34.8), low high-density lipoprotein 52.3% (95% CI 35.6-62.8), obesity 7.8% (95% CI 4.3-13.9), and depression 24.4% (95% CI 12.5-42.1). Invasive cervical cancer and diabetes prevalence were 1.3-1.7 and 1.3-18%, respectively. Few NCD-HIV integrated programs with screening and management approaches that are contextually appropriate for resource-limited settings exist. CONCLUSION: Improved data collection and surveillance of NCDs among PLHIV in LMICs are necessary to inform integrated HIV/NCD care models. Although efforts to integrate care exist, further research is needed to optimize the efficacy of these programs.

Classification and evolution of human papillomavirus genome variants: Alpha-5 (HPV26, 51, 69, 82), Alpha-6 (HPV30, 53, 56, 66), Alpha-11 (HPV34, 73), Alpha-13 (HPV54) and Alpha-3 (HPV61).

HPV variants from the same type can be classified into lineages and sublineages based on the complete genome differences and the phylogenetic topologies. We examined nucleotide variations of twelve HPV types within the species Alpha-5 (HPV26, 51, 69, 82), Alpha-6 (HPV30, 53, 56, 66), Alpha-11 (HPV34, 73), Alpha-13 (HPV54) and Alpha-3 (HPV61) by analyzing 1432 partial sequences and 181 complete genomes from multiple geographic populations. The inter-lineage and inter-sublineage mean differences of HPV variants ranged between 0.9-7.3% and 0.3-0.9%, respectively. The heterogeneity and phylogenies of HPV isolates indicate an independent evolutionary history for each type. The noncoding regions were the most variable regions whereas the capsid proteins were relatively conserved. Certain variant lineages and/or sublineages were geographically-associated. These data provide the basis to further classify HPV variants and should foster future studies on the evolution of HPV genomes and the associations of HPV variants with cancer risk.

Tissue-based Immunohistochemical Biomarker Expression in Malignant Glandular Lesions of the Uterine Cervix: A Systematic Review.

Literature published between 1975 and 2015 was systematically reviewed to conduct a case-comparator study of tissue based, immunohistochemical biomarker expression among malignant glandular histotypes of the uterine cervix so as to identify differences that could have diagnostic utility. Of the 902 abstracts, 154 articles had a full review, and 52 were included. Biomarker positivity in cases of adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS) were compared with atypical lobular endocervical glandular hyperplasia and invasive histotypes grouped as mucinous, endometrioid, adenosquamous, serous clear cell, minimal deviation-gastric type, and mesonephric carcinomas (7 AIS case-comparators). The invasive histotypes were compared with each other (30 adenocarcinoma case-comparators). Biomarker positivity in all 37 case-comparators was calculated as weighted averages of histotype-specific estimates. Unsupervised hierarchical clustering examined differences in expression and were visualized via heatmaps and dendrograms. Of the 56 biomarkers tested, 1 or more of 15 showed a 50% or more difference in positive expression in 6 (86%) of the AIS and 21 (70%) of the adenocarcinoma case-comparators. There was no data on the comparison of serous clear cell to mesonephric carcinoma. AIS case-comparator biomarkers were HIK1083, alpha SMA, PAX8, VIL1, CEA, p53, p16, and CD10, and only alpha SMA had a difference of 100%. The adenocarcinoma case-comparator biomarkers were CEA, p53, Claudin18, HIK1083, p16, Calretinin, CD10, PR, Chromogranin, MUC6, Vimentin and p63, and none had a difference of 100%. Biomarker expression in the discrimination of AIS from invasive adenocarcinoma, and the invasive histotypes from each other is understudied. One or more of 15 biomarkers could have diagnostic utility.

Repurposing metformin for the prevention of cancer and cancer recurrence.

Multiple epidemiological studies have documented an association between metformin, used for treatment of type 2 diabetes, and reduced cancer incidence and mortality. Cell line models may not accurately reflect the effects of metformin in the clinical setting. Moreover, findings from animal model studies have been inconsistent, whilst those from more recent epidemiological studies have tempered the overall effect size. The purpose of this review is to examine metformin's chemopreventive potential by outlining relevant mechanisms of action, the most recent epidemiologic evidence, and recently completed and ongoing clinical trials. Although repurposing drugs with excellent safety profiles is an appealing strategy for cancer prevention and treatment in the adjuvant setting, there is no substitute for well-executed, large randomised clinical trials to define efficacy and determine the populations that are most likely to benefit from an intervention. Thus, enthusiasm remains for understanding the role of metformin in cancer through ongoing clinical research.

Rates and determinants of incidence and clearance of cervical HPV genotypes among HIV-seropositive women in Pune, India.

BACKGROUND: Several studies in recent years have documented the genotype-specific prevalence of HPV infection and wide diversity and multiplicity of HPV genotypes among HIV-seropositive women. Yet, information on changes in HPV genotype-specific incidence and clearance rates over time, and their correlation with clinical or immunologic factors among HIV-seropositive women is scarce. OBJECTIVES: We conducted a prospective study to investigate the incidence and clearance rates of cervical HPV genotypes among HIV-seropositive women in India and expand the evidence base in this area of research. STUDY DESIGN: Cervical samples were collected from n=215 HIV-seropositive women in Pune, India who underwent two screening visits separated by a median of 11-months (interquartile range: 8-18 months). HPV genotypes were determined by Roche Linear Array HPV assay. Individual genotype-specific and carcinogenicity-grouping-specific HPV incidence and clearance rates were calculated and the associations between incidence/clearance and age and HIV-related metrics were explored. RESULTS: Incidence and clearance rates for 'any HPV' and 'carcinogenic HPV' genotypes were 11.1 and 18.3, and 6.7 and 33.8, per 100 person-years, respectively. Incidence and clearance rates for HPV genotypes of alpha-9 species (HPV16, HPV31, HPV33, HPV35, HPV52 and HPV58) and alpha-7 species (HPV18, HPV39, HPV45, HPV59 and HPV68) were 5.8 and 2.04, and 32.1 and 53.5, per 100 person-years, respectively. Clearance of any HPV type was associated with increasing age of participants (odds ratio: 1.08, 95%CI: 1.004-1.17), although the association marginally lost its statistical significance when adjusted for CD4 counts and antiretroviral therapy status. CONCLUSIONS: Genotype-specific clearance rates of HPV were higher than corresponding incidence rates. The suggestion of a positive associations of increasing age with HPV clearance points to the need for etiologic studies on age-related hormonal changes on clearance of cervical HPV infection.

Tissue-based Immunohistochemical Biomarker Accuracy in the Diagnosis of Malignant Glandular Lesions of the Uterine Cervix: A Systematic Review of the Literature and Meta-Analysis.

Immunohistochemistry is widely used to support a pathology diagnosis of cervical adenocarcinoma despite the absence of a systematic review and meta-analysis of the published data. This systematic review and meta-analysis was performed to investigate the sensitivity and specificity of immunohistochemistry biomarkers in the tissue-based diagnosis of cervical adenocarcinoma histotypes compared with normal endocervix and benign glandular lesions. The systematic review and meta-analysis used a PICOT framework and QUADAS-2 to evaluate the quality of included studies. The literature search spanned 40 years and ended June 30, 2015. Abstracts of identified records were independently screened by 2 of the authors who then conducted a full-text review of selected articles. Sensitivity and specificity of immunohistochemistry expression in malignant glandular lesions of the cervix classified per WHO 2003 compared with 5 benign comparators (normal/benign endocervix, and benign endocervical, endometrioid, gastric, and mesonephric lesions) were calculated. Of 902 abstracts screened, 154 articles were selected for full review. Twenty-five articles with results for 36 biomarkers were included. The only biomarker with enough studies for a meta-analysis was p16 and the definition of positive p16 staining among them was variable. Nevertheless, any positive p16 expression was sensitive, ranging from 0.94 to 0.98 with narrow confidence intervals (CIs), for adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS) and mucinous adenocarcinomas in comparison with normal/benign endocervix and benign endocervical and endometrioid lesions. Specificity for AIS and mucinous adenocarcinomas was also high with narrow CIs compared with benign endocervical lesions. The specificity was high for AIS, 0.99 (0.24, 1.0), and mucinous adenocarcinoma, 0.95 (0.52, 1.0), compared with normal/benign endocervix but with wider CIs, and low with very wide CIs compared with benign endometrioid lesions: 0.31 (0.00, 0.99) and 0.34 (0.00, 0.99), respectively. Results from single studies showed that p16, p16/Ki67 dual stain, ProExC, CEA, ESA, HIK1083, Claudin 18, and ER loss in perilesional stromal cells were useful with high (≥0.75) sensitivity and specificity estimates in ≥1 malignant versus benign comparisons. None of the biomarkers had highly useful sensitivity and specificity estimates for AIS, mucinous adenocarcinomas, or minimal deviation adenocarcinoma/gastric adenocarcinoma compared with benign gastric or mesonephric lesions or for mesonephric carcinoma compared with normal/benign endocervix, benign endocervical, endometrial, or mesonephric lesions. Any expression of p16 supports a diagnosis of AIS and mucinous adenocarcinomas in comparison with normal/benign endocervix and benign endocervical lesions. The majority of studies did not separate mosaic/focal p16 staining from diffuse staining as a distinct pattern of p16 overexpression and this may have contributed to the poor performance of p16 in distinguishing AIS and mucinous adenocarcinomas from benign endometrioid lesions. Single studies support further investigation of 8 additional biomarkers that have highly useful sensitivity and specificity estimates for ≥1 malignant glandular lesions compared with ≥1 of the 5 benign comparators.